Traill County vs. North Dakota
Comparative Trends Analysis:
Total Employment Growth and Change, 1969-2022
Introduction
Traill County vs. North Dakota
Traill County:
2022 Jobs = 5,160
2022 Percent of State = 0.88%
North Dakota:
2022 Jobs = 587,819
2022 Percent of U.S. = 0.28%
Employment numbers remain the most popular and frequently cited statistics used for tracking local area economic conditions and trends. The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) employment estimates reported measure the number of full- and part-time wage and salary employees, plus the number of proprietors of unincorporated businesses. People holding more than one job are counted in the employment estimates for each job they hold. This means BEA employment estimates represent a job count, not a people count. Also, BEA employment is by place-of-work, rather than by place-of-residence. Jobs held by neighboring county residents who commute to Traill County to work are included in the employment count for Traill County.
Data Definition:
The BEA employment series for states and local areas comprises estimates of the number of jobs, full-time plus part-time, by place of work. Full-time and part-time jobs are counted at equal weight. Employees, sole proprietors, and active partners are included, but unpaid family workers and volunteers are not included. Proprietors employment consists of the number of sole proprietorships and the number of partners in partnerships. The description "by place of work" applies to the wage and salary portion of the series and, with relatively little error, to the entire series. The proprietors employment portion of the series, however, is more nearly by place of residence because, for nonfarm sole proprietorships, the estimates are based on IRS tax data that reflect the address from which the proprietor's individual tax return is filed, which is usually the proprietor's residence. The nonfarm partnership portion of the proprietors employment series reflects the tax-filing address of the partnership, which may be either the residence of one of the partners or the business address of the partnership. The employment estimates are designed to be consistent with the estimates of wages and salaries and proprietors' income that are part of the personal income series. The employment estimates are based on the same sets of source data as the corresponding earnings estimates and are prepared with parallel methodologies. Two forms of proprietors' income-the income of limited partnerships and the income of tax-exempt cooperatives-have no corresponding employment estimates.
Total Employment, 1969-2022
Total Employment, 1969-2022
Figure 1.
Figure 1 traces Traill County's annual total employment for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate total employment patterns over time. During this 54-year period, Traill County's total employment rose from 4,228 in 1969 to 5,160 in 2022, for a net gain of 932, or 22.04%.
Total Employment, 1969-2022
Total Employment, 1969-2022
Figure 2.
Figure 2 traces North Dakota's annual total employment for the period 1969-2022 to illustrate total employment patterns over time. During this 54-year period, North Dakota's total employment rose from 273,930 in 1969 to 587,819 in 2022, for a net gain of 313,889, or 114.59%.
Total Employment Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022
Total Employment Indices (1969=100): 1969-2022
Figure 3.
Figure 3 portrays Traill County's total employment growth in a broader context by offering direct comparisons across time with North Dakota, the United States. The growth indices shown here express each region's total employment in 1969 as a base figure of 100, and the total employments in later years as a percentage of the 1969 base figure. This method allows for more direct comparison of differences in total employment growth between regions that may differ vastly in size.
Traill County's overall total employment growth was 22.04% over 1969-2022 trailed North Dakota's increase of 114.59%, and fell below the United States' increase of 133.32%.
Total Employment as a Percent of the North Dakota Total: 1969-2022
Total Employment as a Percent of the North Dakota Total: 1969-2022
Figure 4.
Another interesting and insightful way of comparing the total employment growth of Traill County is to compare its individual percentage contributions to North Dakota's statewide total employment over time, as shown in Figure 4. A rising share means a region's total employment grew faster, or declined less, than North Dakota's total employment, while a declining share shows it grew more slowly.
In 1969, Traill County's total employment comprised 1.54% of North Dakota's total employment, while in 2022 it comprised 0.88% thereby yielding a -0.67% share-shift.
   
 
Total Employment Share-Shift
2022 vs. 1969
 
Share-
Shift*
 
2022
vs.
1969
-0.67%
=
0.88%
-
1.54%
 
   
Traill County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022
Traill County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change, 1970-2022
Figure 5.
Figure 5 highlights the short-run pattern of Traill County's total employment growth by tracking the year-to-year percent change over 1970-2022. The average annual percent change for the entire 53-year period is also illustrated on this chart to provide a benchmark for gauging periods of relative high--and relative low--growth against the backdrop of the long-term average.
On average, Traill County's total employment grew at an annual rate of 0.40% over 1970-2022. The county recorded its highest growth in 2001 (5.72%) and recorded its lowest growth in 1998 (-6.19%). In 2022, Traill County's total employment grew by 3.14%
Traill County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022
Traill County Total Employment:
Annual Percent Change and Decade Averages Over 1970-2022
Figure 6.
Over the past five decades some counties have experienced extreme swings in growth, and often such swings have tended to coincide with the decades themselves. Figure 6 again depicts the annual percent change in Traill County's total employment since 1970, but this time they are overlayed with average growth rates for the decade of the 1970s, 1980s, 1990s, 2000s, 2010s, and 2020-2022.
During the 1970s, Traill County's annual total employment growth rate averaged 1.30%. It averaged -0.41% in the 1980s, -0.16% in the 1990s, 0.43% throughout the 2000s, 0.84% throughout the 2010s, 0.50% thus far this decade (2020-2022).
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change by Decade
Figure 7.
Figure 7 compares the decade average growth rates for Traill County noted in the previous graph with the corresponding decade averages for North Dakota and the nation. As the chart reveals, Traill County's average annual total employment growth trailed North Dakota's average during the 1970s (1.30% vs. 2.59%), lagged North Dakota's average in the 1980s (-0.41% vs. 0.47%), trailed North Dakota's average in the 1990s (-0.16% vs. 1.65%), amounted to less than North Dakota's average during the 2000s (0.43% vs. 1.24%), fell below North Dakota's average during the 2010s (0.84% vs. 1.72%), and led North Dakota's average over the 3 year period of the current decade, 2020-2022 (0.50% vs. 0.41%).
Finally, relative to nationwide total employment growth trends, Traill County lagged the nation in the 1970s (1.30% vs. 2.21%), posted below the nation over the 1980s (-0.41% vs. 1.88%), fell below the nation throughout the 1990s (-0.16% vs. 1.73%), fell below the nation in the 2000s (0.43% vs. 0.74%), fell below the nation over the 2010s (0.84% vs. 1.51%), and fell below the nation over 2020-2022 (0.50% vs. 1.82%).
   
 
Total Employment Growth:
Average Annual Percent Change
 
 
 
0.40
1.30
-0.41
-0.16
0.43
0.84
0.50
3.14
 
1.47
2.59
0.47
1.65
1.24
1.72
0.41
3.52
 
1.62
2.21
1.88
1.73
0.74
1.51
1.82
4.78
 
   
Job Ratios (Employment/Population): 1969-2022
Job Ratios (Employment/Population): 1969-2022
Figure 8.
The job ratios shown in Figure 8 for Traill County, North Dakota and the nation not only portray a number of important trends, they also serves as a thumbnail guide to evaluating an economy's capacity to generate enough jobs fast enough to absorb the increasing number of workers attendant to a growing population. The job ratio is the number of full-time and part-time jobs by place of work, divided by population.
Nationally, the job ratio rose from 0.45 to 0.64 between 1969 and 2022. Traill County's job ratio registered 0.44 in 1969, and 0.65 in 2022. Underlying the rising job ratio over the past several decades have been the increases in the labor force participation rates, with the number and proportion of women in the labor market playing a leading role.
An assortment of other factors can contribute to regional differences in the job ratio. They include differences in the proportion of elderly and retirees who no longer work and participate in the labor force, differences in the number and proportion of part-time vs. full-time workers, differences in industry composition, and differences in age and sex distribution and degree of urbanization. Also, a disproportionate number of workers commuting to work outside a county tends to lower its local county job ratio, while a net inflow of workers commuting to work inside the county tends to augment its local county job ratio.
Avoid interpreting the job ratio as the fraction (or percent) of the local population employed. This interpretation should only apply to the "employment-population ratio" statistic compiled by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) from the Current Population Survey (CPS).
Job Ratios (Employment/Population)
as a Percent of the U.S. Average:
1969-2022
Job Ratios (Employment/Population)
as a Percent of the U.S. Average:
1969-2022
Figure 9.
To highlight trends in a local job ratio relative to nationwide trends, Figure 9 tracks Traill County's, North Dakota's job ratio as a percent of the national job ratio over 1969-2022.

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
Traill County:
Total Employment, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
4,228
100.0
N
1.54
0.44
96.22
1970
 
4,297
101.6
1.63
1.53
0.45
100.77
1971
 
4,230
100.0
-1.56
1.49
0.45
102.37
1972
 
4,138
97.9
-2.17
1.44
0.45
98.75
1973
 
4,337
102.6
4.81
1.44
0.47
101.24
1974
 
4,584
108.4
5.70
1.49
0.50
105.63
1975
 
4,556
107.8
-0.61
1.45
0.49
107.06
1976
 
4,626
109.4
1.54
1.42
0.49
104.04
1977
 
4,689
110.9
1.36
1.42
0.48
100.98
1978
 
4,887
115.6
4.22
1.42
0.51
103.15
1979
 
4,793
113.4
-1.92
1.36
0.49
97.70
1980
 
4,680
110.7
-2.36
1.32
0.49
97.12
1981
 
4,662
110.3
-0.38
1.30
0.49
97.85
1982
 
4,684
110.8
0.47
1.30
0.50
100.62
1983
 
4,679
110.7
-0.11
1.28
0.49
99.80
1984
 
4,719
111.6
0.85
1.29
0.50
97.27
1985
 
4,605
108.9
-2.42
1.27
0.49
94.19
1986
 
4,569
108.1
-0.78
1.28
0.50
95.04
1987
 
4,561
107.9
-0.18
1.26
0.51
94.49
1988
 
4,639
109.7
1.71
1.27
0.52
94.37
1989
 
4,595
108.7
-0.95
1.24
0.52
93.61
1990
 
4,568
108.0
-0.59
1.22
0.52
94.56
1991
 
4,583
108.4
0.33
1.20
0.53
96.92
1992
 
4,574
108.2
-0.20
1.18
0.53
98.77
1993
 
4,667
110.4
2.03
1.18
0.55
100.76
1994
 
4,708
111.4
0.88
1.14
0.55
100.49
1995
 
4,806
113.7
2.08
1.15
0.56
100.19
1996
 
4,842
114.5
0.75
1.14
0.56
100.23
1997
 
4,818
114.0
-0.50
1.12
0.56
99.32
1998
 
4,520
106.9
-6.19
1.04
0.53
92.72
1999
 
4,510
106.7
-0.22
1.04
0.53
91.55
2000
 
4,408
104.3
-2.26
1.00
0.52
88.74
2001
 
4,660
110.2
5.72
1.05
0.56
96.00
2002
 
4,628
109.5
-0.69
1.05
0.56
96.84
2003
 
4,536
107.3
-1.99
1.02
0.55
95.65
2004
 
4,680
110.7
3.17
1.03
0.56
97.16
2005
 
4,716
111.5
0.77
1.02
0.57
97.23
2006
 
4,723
111.7
0.15
1.00
0.57
97.14
2007
 
4,842
114.5
2.52
1.00
0.58
97.66
2008
 
4,809
113.7
-0.68
0.98
0.59
100.04
2009
 
4,692
111.0
-2.43
0.95
0.58
102.05
2010
 
4,716
111.5
0.51
0.94
0.58
104.13
2011
 
4,952
117.1
5.00
0.93
0.61
108.65
2012
 
5,176
122.4
4.52
0.91
0.64
112.55
2013
 
5,219
123.4
0.83
0.89
0.64
110.58
2014
 
5,268
124.6
0.94
0.87
0.65
112.12
2015
 
5,123
121.2
-2.75
0.86
0.64
108.24
2016
 
5,110
120.9
-0.25
0.89
0.64
106.80
2017
 
5,152
121.9
0.82
0.90
0.64
106.93
2018
 
5,152
121.9
0.00
0.89
0.64
105.48
2019
 
5,087
120.3
-1.26
0.87
0.63
103.41
2020
 
5,124
121.2
0.73
0.91
0.64
108.89
2021
 
5,003
118.3
-2.36
0.88
0.63
102.54
2022
 
5,160
122.0
3.14
0.88
0.65
101.72
Source: Calculations by the North Dakota Regional Economic Analysis Project (ND-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
North Dakota:
Total Employment, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
273,930
100.0
N
0.30
0.44
97.52
1970
 
281,458
102.7
2.75
0.31
0.45
101.55
1971
 
283,811
103.6
0.84
0.31
0.45
102.28
1972
 
288,138
105.2
1.52
0.31
0.46
101.34
1973
 
300,252
109.6
4.20
0.31
0.47
101.95
1974
 
308,009
112.4
2.58
0.31
0.49
103.49
1975
 
313,546
114.5
1.80
0.32
0.49
106.98
1976
 
325,944
119.0
3.95
0.32
0.51
108.17
1977
 
330,976
120.8
1.54
0.32
0.51
106.67
1978
 
345,094
126.0
4.27
0.31
0.53
107.39
1979
 
353,425
129.0
2.41
0.31
0.54
107.56
1980
 
354,849
129.5
0.40
0.31
0.54
108.10
1981
 
358,792
131.0
1.11
0.31
0.54
108.64
1982
 
359,535
131.3
0.21
0.31
0.54
109.06
1983
 
365,143
133.3
1.56
0.32
0.54
109.09
1984
 
366,419
133.8
0.35
0.30
0.54
105.35
1985
 
363,513
132.7
-0.79
0.29
0.54
103.20
1986
 
357,386
130.5
-1.69
0.28
0.53
101.55
1987
 
362,693
132.4
1.48
0.28
0.55
102.60
1988
 
366,328
133.7
1.00
0.27
0.56
102.33
1989
 
370,190
135.1
1.05
0.27
0.57
103.81
1990
 
373,890
136.5
1.00
0.27
0.59
105.80
1991
 
382,218
139.5
2.23
0.28
0.60
110.52
1992
 
387,620
141.5
1.41
0.28
0.61
112.76
1993
 
396,886
144.9
2.39
0.28
0.62
114.28
1994
 
411,338
150.2
3.64
0.29
0.64
116.41
1995
 
418,075
152.6
1.64
0.28
0.65
116.18
1996
 
425,783
155.4
1.84
0.28
0.65
116.75
1997
 
429,892
156.9
0.97
0.28
0.66
116.73
1998
 
434,930
158.8
1.17
0.27
0.67
116.91
1999
 
435,651
159.0
0.17
0.27
0.68
116.81
2000
 
440,643
160.9
1.15
0.27
0.69
117.11
2001
 
445,433
162.6
1.09
0.27
0.70
120.00
2002
 
442,530
161.5
-0.65
0.27
0.69
120.81
2003
 
443,692
162.0
0.26
0.27
0.69
121.44
2004
 
453,079
165.4
2.12
0.27
0.70
121.88
2005
 
461,638
168.5
1.89
0.27
0.71
122.52
2006
 
471,131
172.0
2.06
0.27
0.73
123.08
2007
 
482,494
176.1
2.41
0.27
0.74
124.00
2008
 
491,887
179.6
1.95
0.27
0.75
126.93
2009
 
492,409
179.8
0.11
0.28
0.74
130.83
2010
 
503,803
183.9
2.31
0.29
0.75
133.54
2011
 
529,778
193.4
5.16
0.30
0.77
136.55
2012
 
567,381
207.1
7.10
0.32
0.80
141.33
2013
 
586,758
214.2
3.42
0.32
0.81
140.13
2014
 
607,113
221.6
3.47
0.33
0.82
139.81
2015
 
597,638
218.2
-1.56
0.31
0.78
132.50
2016
 
576,701
210.5
-3.50
0.30
0.75
126.48
2017
 
573,077
209.2
-0.63
0.29
0.75
124.31
2018
 
578,397
211.1
0.93
0.29
0.75
122.99
2019
 
581,406
212.2
0.52
0.29
0.75
122.63
2020
 
560,448
204.6
-3.60
0.29
0.72
122.05
2021
 
567,834
207.3
1.32
0.28
0.73
119.53
2022
 
587,819
214.6
3.52
0.28
0.75
118.34
Source: Calculations by the North Dakota Regional Economic Analysis Project (ND-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PSN
 
   

Interactive TableTip: To augment your analysis click on the column headers in the following table to rank and/or sort the data.

   
 
United States:
Total Employment, 1969-2022
 
1969
 
91,053,200
100.0
N
0.45
1970
 
91,277,600
100.2
0.25
0.45
1971
 
91,581,400
100.6
0.33
0.44
1972
 
94,312,200
103.6
2.98
0.45
1973
 
98,427,500
108.1
4.36
0.47
1974
 
100,111,800
109.9
1.71
0.47
1975
 
98,900,600
108.6
-1.21
0.46
1976
 
101,591,200
111.6
2.72
0.47
1977
 
105,042,200
115.4
3.40
0.48
1978
 
109,686,600
120.5
4.42
0.49
1979
 
113,147,100
124.3
3.15
0.50
1980
 
113,983,200
125.2
0.74
0.50
1981
 
114,914,000
126.2
0.82
0.50
1982
 
114,163,300
125.4
-0.65
0.49
1983
 
115,645,700
127.0
1.30
0.49
1984
 
120,528,100
132.4
4.22
0.51
1985
 
123,796,700
136.0
2.71
0.52
1986
 
126,232,300
138.6
1.97
0.53
1987
 
129,548,400
142.3
2.63
0.53
1988
 
133,563,900
146.7
3.10
0.55
1989
 
136,177,800
149.6
1.96
0.55
1990
 
138,330,900
151.9
1.58
0.55
1991
 
137,612,800
151.1
-0.52
0.54
1992
 
138,166,100
151.7
0.40
0.54
1993
 
140,774,400
154.6
1.89
0.54
1994
 
144,196,600
158.4
2.43
0.55
1995
 
147,915,800
162.4
2.58
0.56
1996
 
151,056,200
165.9
2.12
0.56
1997
 
154,541,200
169.7
2.31
0.57
1998
 
158,481,200
174.1
2.55
0.57
1999
 
161,531,300
177.4
1.92
0.58
2000
 
165,370,800
181.6
2.38
0.59
2001
 
165,522,200
181.8
0.09
0.58
2002
 
165,095,100
181.3
-0.26
0.57
2003
 
165,921,500
182.2
0.50
0.57
2004
 
168,839,700
185.4
1.76
0.58
2005
 
172,338,400
189.3
2.07
0.58
2006
 
175,868,600
193.1
2.05
0.59
2007
 
179,543,700
197.2
2.09
0.60
2008
 
179,213,900
196.8
-0.18
0.59
2009
 
173,636,700
190.7
-3.11
0.57
2010
 
172,901,700
189.9
-0.42
0.56
2011
 
176,091,700
193.4
1.84
0.56
2012
 
178,979,700
196.6
1.64
0.57
2013
 
182,328,100
200.2
1.87
0.58
2014
 
186,239,800
204.5
2.15
0.58
2015
 
190,325,800
209.0
2.19
0.59
2016
 
193,425,900
212.4
1.63
0.60
2017
 
196,394,100
215.7
1.53
0.60
2018
 
200,292,200
220.0
1.98
0.61
2019
 
201,635,200
221.4
0.67
0.61
2020
 
195,286,600
214.5
-3.15
0.59
2021
 
202,752,100
222.7
3.82
0.61
2022
 
212,442,000
233.3
4.78
0.64
Source: Calculations by the North Dakota Regional Economic Analysis Project (ND-REAP)
with data provided by the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of Economic Analysis
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1400_1000_PN
 
   
Copyright © 2023. Pacific Northwest Regional Economic Analysis Project (PNREAP). All Rights Reserved.

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